Performance

Validated across multiple years and market conditions.

Developed, tested and validated across multiple years and varying market conditions on TSLA 15-minute intraday data.

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2025 Performance Graph

Equity · $30,000 → $64,098

Annual Returns

Year by year.

Past performance is not indicative of future results.
All figures are backtest results on $30,000 starting capital.

PeriodROENet ProfitMax DDProfit FactorWin RateTradesRINARet. Ratio
2026 YTD 47% $14,143 $2,896 1.71 47% 111 4,548.95 148.60
2025 113% $34,098 $3,335 2.01 53% 198 13,647.50 374.40
2024 52% $15,765 $2,693 1.58 42% 204 3,315.19 35.23
2023 11% $3,368 $4,758 1.12 39% 209 718.75 2.43
2022 34% $10,204 $6,768 1.25 44% 217 2,418.00 8.16

2026 YTD data as of 24 July 2026

Full-year 2026 results, including Monte Carlo validation, will be published once the year closes on 31 December 2026.

Understanding RINA Index

RINA Index is a TradeStation performance metric that combines net profit, drawdown, and time spent in the market into a single risk-adjusted score: Net Profit ÷ (Average Drawdown × Percent Time in Market). Because it's calculated against time in the market as well as profit and drawdown, it specifically rewards strategies that are selective and risk-controlled — exactly the traits behind Urban Alpha's sub-2%-time-in-market discipline and contained drawdown profile. The widely-cited industry benchmark — originating from RINA Systems, the index's creator — considers a score of 30 or higher to indicate a good, efficient system. Even in 2023, Urban Alpha's most difficult year, the RINA Index (718.75) was roughly 24 times that benchmark; by 2025 it was over 450 times higher.

Understanding Return Retracement Ratio

Return Retracement Ratio measures annualised return relative to average drawdown — Average Annualised Return ÷ Average Maximum Retracement. TradeStation's own documentation describes it as a reward/risk alternative to the Sharpe Ratio, and specifically the recommended one: the Sharpe Ratio isn't calculated at all for intraday strategies like Urban Alpha, so Return Retracement Ratio is the actual risk-adjusted return metric that applies here. As with RINA Index, the higher the number, the more return the strategy generates per unit of downside risk — and as with every other metric on this page, 2023 is the low point (2.43), with 2025 the standout (374.40).

34%
2022
11%
2023
52%
2024
113%
2025
47%~83% ARR
2026 YTD

2025 Backtest

Full detail.

The 2025 backtest was run on TSLA 15-minute intraday data with $30,000 starting capital.

$30,000
Starting Capital
$34,098
Net Profit
113%
Return on Equity
$3,335
Max Drawdown
2.01
Profit Factor
53%
Win Rate
198
Total Trades
13,648
RINA Index

Robustness Validation

Monte Carlo.

Rather than relying on a single historical result, the strategy is subjected to thousands of randomised trade-sequence simulations to determine how it may behave under different conditions.

1,000Simulations performed
100%Profitable simulation rate (2025 data)
LowSequence risk
LowOutlier dependency
StrongDistribution stability
GoodDrawdown stability

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